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DR2 Detektor - Old (and wrong) numbers pollutes ACTA debate.

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    Once you had to buy one of these to listen to your favorite song
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    Later the discs became smaller
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    and today, at a single, free click from your mouse, music flows from your speakers
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    But according to Ivan Pedersen, who became famous with this song, which he created with his band Laban in the 80s
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    and who chairs the association of danish composers and songwriters (DPA),
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    too many people listen to music without paying for it.
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    So many that "his livelihood is vanishing", as Ivan Pedersen wrote in a recent op-ed
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    Today there's plenty of options to legally buy music online, he writes
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    But nevertheless illegal filesharing and streaming accounts for 95 % of all music traffic
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    The day after his op-ed the number appeared in a debate at the danish parliament Christiansborg
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    In a meeting in the european committee, danish trade minister Pia Olsen Dyhr explains
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    why Denmark will ratify the disputed ACTA treaty,
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    that aims at stopping illegal filesharing in Europe.
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    You have to bear in mind that, I think it is 95% of all music
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    that is downloaded from the internet, is downloaded illegally
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    The Government is very concerned about illegal file-sharing
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    Minister of Culture, Uffe Elbæk, recently called upon a number of experts to discuss
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    possible solutions to the problem.
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    One of his advisors is Ivan Pedersen
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    of all music related internet traffic on danish IP addresses.
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    But is this true?
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    (Lecia sings: "let's get one thing straight")
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    Yes, let's do that!
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    (Lecia sings: "Can you answer for your part?")
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    But first let's sort out, what's actually legal or illegal file sharing and streaming.
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    There's plenty of options when you want to listen to a song.
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    You can buy it from renowned site like iTunes and TDC-music [a danish music service].
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    It's legal because because the provider pays the artist when he sells a song
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    You can also subscribe to a streaming service like Spotify, which gives you access to a large music library.
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    This is legal because Spotify pays the artist for having his music in the library.
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    But you can also download music for free using services such as Kazaa and Rapidshare.
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    Here, thousands of users make music available,which everyone can download to their computer.
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    But these networks don't have agreements with the artist, who made the music, so he doesn't get a dime.
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    And these illegal downloads should account for 95 percent of all downloads.
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    Ivan Pedersen says that he has the number - 95 percent
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    from the Rights Alliance, which represents more than 52.000 danish rights holders.
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    And according the Rights Alliance the number is from a report made the international chapter of IFPI
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    which represents the recording industry worldwide
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    IFPI, however, refused to grant Detektor access to the numbers behind their report
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    so we cannot review it's credibility.
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    But the interest group no longer refers to the number in their latest
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    report from 2012.
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    The international number of 95 percent was published
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    in a report in 2009 - so it's a couple of years old.
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    Ivan Pedersen is only talking about file sharing in Denmark, and here the number can't be used at all, says IFPI Denmark
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    the danish branch of the international record label interest group.
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    The way I see it you cannot use this number in Denmark
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    because the number is based on study of the global market.
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    So you can't just transfer the number onto the danish market.
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    However there is no doubt that illegal file sharing services are a problem for the danish market.
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    Not least because the make life harder for legal services trying to establish themselves.
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    But then how much music is actually acquired illegally?
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    The Ministry of Culture actually tried to answer that question in april 2011,
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    when it evaluated the the extent of digital piracy on the internet
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    - This is a thing which is very difficult to measure.
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    Martin Nielsen from the accounting company Ernst & Young lead the project
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    and read through numerous surveys from all over the world
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    The Internet is gigantic and theres an enormous amount of traffic
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    requires measuring during a long period of time and you need to make sure you're dealing with a representative group.
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    To get closer to the answer it was necessary to look towards our Norwegian neighbours.
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    - We couldn't find any numbers from Denmark, which of course is regrettable.
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    The closest we could get was Norway. There, a study was completed in 2008.
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    According to this study, approximately 30 million tracks were copied illegally per week.
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    Which makes up approximately 55 percent to the total volume of copied tracks.
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    But Martin Nielsen says the last three years of development on the music market have been of great significance.
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    -New streaming services make it easier to get music legally.
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    It has taken away the motivation to do it illegally, so I think we are significantly below 95 percent.
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    But there is, in fact, one survey made in Denmark.
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    In November 2010 KODA made an internal study in Denmark.
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    The organisation, which manages musicians' rights,
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    asked a representative sample of the Danish population
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    from where they had the latest track in their music collection
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    A quarter of the interviewees replied that the latest track in their collection
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    had been downloaded, and roughly half of those had paid for the song.
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    Which means at least half of those polled had acquired
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    the latest track in their music collection in a lawful manner
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    and as for the remaining downloads which had not been paid for, you cannot say whether they are illegal or not.
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    "What did I talk about? What did I have to say?"
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    "He is confused, so I dare to say ...."
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    That there really is no documentation proving
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    that illegal file sharing and streaming constitute 95 percent of all music traffic on danish IP-adresses.
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    Welcome to you, Ivan Pedersen.
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    Is it true that illegal file sharing and streaming from Danish IP addresses constitute 95 percent of all music traffic?
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    I reserve the right to wise up.
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    And I have really been taught a lesson these past few days.
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    The numbers used in my article 2 weeks ago turned out not to hold water.
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    They are three years old. I got those numbers where I normally obtain sober information, about the issues I talk about.
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    But I now understand that the 95% I used
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    in reality were numbers describing the global situation. And three years ago.
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    How does this affect the debate on illegal streaming and downloading of songs if
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    you publicly use very exaggerated numbers, which turn out not to be true?
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    It deals my opponents a stronger hand.
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    Obviously this is the last time that I - out of pure anger,
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    you know, passion-driven argumentation - use the latest figures I have been given, just because it fits my stuff.
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    Good. Let's get out the Detektor Truth-o-meter
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    We have one of those here in the Studio and you may try it.
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    Ivan Pedersen, as a spokesperson of DPA:
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    The statement that 95% of all danish music streaming and downloading is illegal
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    95% is false, right?
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    According to what I have been able to gather today, it's probably half of the traffic on the Internet
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    of music or other copyright-protected material, that happens without remunerating the creators and performers.
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    But the 95% - it is false?
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    Yes, it is false.
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    And yet you placed it ...?
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    No oo, what I have been TOLD is that it is false.
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    Strictly speaking, I cannnot know. I have been told that the figures are not accurate,
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    it is not the latest numbers.
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    So now that you have the opportunity and the possibility:
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    What would you write, if you were to rewrite your op-ed in Politiken [a danish daily].
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    I'd write "a dramatically large proportion of the traffic of copyright-protected material
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    on Danish IP addresses, are not paid for".
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    Ivan Pedersen, thank you very much for being on the show.
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    You're most welcome! (laughs)
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    So far so good. But then there was the Trade Minister.
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    Who coined it this way:
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    I think it's 95% of the music that's downloaded on the net,
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    which is downloaded illegally.
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    In a § 20 questions in the danish Parliament, Stine Brix from Enhedslisten asked from where the Minister has her facts.
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    Pia Olsen Dyhr response to Stine Brix was that she received her information from IFPI,
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    and that she did not find any reason to doubt them.
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    How can you use three to four year-old figures on illegal music downloads?
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    It was the figure I was given prior to our consultation in the Committee for European Affairs
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    It's unfortunate that the figure is so old.
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    It is actually also a pity that the number is so much bigger, because it clouds
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    a debate that should be taken seriously. Namely that you're not allowed to download illegally on the Internet.
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    Just like you may not steal an orange in the supermarket
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    We know that there are too many who do it. Whether it's 28 or 95 percent or whatever it is.
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    It is still too many.
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    But what does it do to the debate whether it's 28% or 95% or somewhere in between?
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    It makes it blurred, because we need to have real numbers in debates.
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    I think that's very important, actually.
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    The Danish study that shows that half of all the music,
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    that's downloaded from the internet, has been paid for, is newer than the one from IFPI.
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    Why aren't you using a number like that instead?
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    First of all, because I did not know that number. That's fair and square.
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    Secondly, this number says nothing about how much is illegal.
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    Because we cannot necessarily conclude that the other half
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    is illegal downloading just because you haven't paid for it.
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    But it does, at the least, say that half is legal,
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    so it can't be more than half which is illegal.
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    I'm happy to use those numbers in the future.
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    Well, let's get out the Detektor truth-o-meter.
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    You may place the red dot yourself.
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    Is it true or false that 95% of all music downloads are illegal?
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    It was. after all, true in 2009, when this report was made.
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    But with the development I have seen, we must of course be moving towards here,
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    because, in reality, the numbers look differently today.
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    Pia Olsen Dyhr, thank you very much.
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    My pleasure.
Title:
DR2 Detektor - Old (and wrong) numbers pollutes ACTA debate.
Description:

About the show:
http://www.dr.dk/P1/Detektor/Udsendelser/2012/02/28154014.htm - translation: http://bit.ly/95_percent

NB: What was not very clear here is that the 95% number is from 2008, not 2009 (the reports come out in January and deal with the year before), and cannot be sourced. The report calls it "an estimate".

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Video Language:
Danish
Duration:
11:17

English subtitles

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