DR2 Detektor - Old (and wrong) numbers pollutes ACTA debate.
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0:01 - 0:05Once you had to buy one of these to listen to your favorite song
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0:18 - 0:23Later the discs became smaller
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0:31 - 0:38and today, at a single, free click from your mouse, music flows from your speakers
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0:46 - 0:50But according to Ivan Pedersen, who became famous with this song, which he created with his band Laban in the 80s
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0:50 - 0:54and who chairs the association of danish composers and songwriters (DPA),
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0:54 - 1:00too many people listen to music without paying for it.
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1:01 - 1:07So many that "his livelihood is vanishing", as Ivan Pedersen wrote in a recent op-ed
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1:07 - 1:12Today there's plenty of options to legally buy music online, he writes
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1:12 - 1:21But nevertheless illegal filesharing and streaming accounts for 95 % of all music traffic
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1:21 - 1:25The day after his op-ed the number appeared in a debate at the danish parliament Christiansborg
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1:25 - 1:29In a meeting in the european committee, danish trade minister Pia Olsen Dyhr explains
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1:30 - 1:34why Denmark will ratify the disputed ACTA treaty,
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1:34 - 1:37that aims at stopping illegal filesharing in Europe.
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1:37 - 1:42You have to bear in mind that, I think it is 95% of all music
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1:42 - 1:46that is downloaded from the internet, is downloaded illegally
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1:47 - 1:50The Government is very concerned about illegal file-sharing
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1:50 - 1:53Minister of Culture, Uffe Elbæk, recently called upon a number of experts to discuss
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1:53 - 1:56possible solutions to the problem.
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1:56 - 2:03One of his advisors is Ivan Pedersen
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2:03 - 2:06of all music related internet traffic on danish IP addresses.
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2:06 - 2:10But is this true?
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2:10 - 2:13(Lecia sings: "let's get one thing straight")
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2:14 - 2:16Yes, let's do that!
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2:16 - 2:19(Lecia sings: "Can you answer for your part?")
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2:20 - 2:26But first let's sort out, what's actually legal or illegal file sharing and streaming.
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2:26 - 2:31There's plenty of options when you want to listen to a song.
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2:31 - 2:36You can buy it from renowned site like iTunes and TDC-music [a danish music service].
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2:37 - 2:41It's legal because because the provider pays the artist when he sells a song
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2:41 - 2:48You can also subscribe to a streaming service like Spotify, which gives you access to a large music library.
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2:48 - 2:54This is legal because Spotify pays the artist for having his music in the library.
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2:54 - 3:00But you can also download music for free using services such as Kazaa and Rapidshare.
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3:01 - 3:06Here, thousands of users make music available,which everyone can download to their computer.
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3:06 - 3:14But these networks don't have agreements with the artist, who made the music, so he doesn't get a dime.
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3:15 - 3:21And these illegal downloads should account for 95 percent of all downloads.
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3:21 - 3:25Ivan Pedersen says that he has the number - 95 percent
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3:25 - 3:30from the Rights Alliance, which represents more than 52.000 danish rights holders.
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3:30 - 3:36And according the Rights Alliance the number is from a report made the international chapter of IFPI
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3:36 - 3:38which represents the recording industry worldwide
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3:40 - 3:43IFPI, however, refused to grant Detektor access to the numbers behind their report
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3:43 - 3:46so we cannot review it's credibility.
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3:49 - 3:53But the interest group no longer refers to the number in their latest
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3:53 - 3:57report from 2012.
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3:57 - 4:01The international number of 95 percent was published
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4:01 - 4:05in a report in 2009 - so it's a couple of years old.
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4:05 - 4:12Ivan Pedersen is only talking about file sharing in Denmark, and here the number can't be used at all, says IFPI Denmark
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4:12 - 4:15the danish branch of the international record label interest group.
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4:15 - 4:19The way I see it you cannot use this number in Denmark
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4:19 - 4:24because the number is based on study of the global market.
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4:24 - 4:27So you can't just transfer the number onto the danish market.
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4:27 - 4:32However there is no doubt that illegal file sharing services are a problem for the danish market.
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4:32 - 4:38Not least because the make life harder for legal services trying to establish themselves.
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4:38 - 4:42But then how much music is actually acquired illegally?
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4:42 - 4:46The Ministry of Culture actually tried to answer that question in april 2011,
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4:46 - 4:51when it evaluated the the extent of digital piracy on the internet
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4:51 - 4:54- This is a thing which is very difficult to measure.
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4:54 - 4:58Martin Nielsen from the accounting company Ernst & Young lead the project
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4:58 - 5:02and read through numerous surveys from all over the world
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5:02 - 5:07The Internet is gigantic and theres an enormous amount of traffic
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5:07 - 5:10requires measuring during a long period of time and you need to make sure you're dealing with a representative group.
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5:10 - 5:15To get closer to the answer it was necessary to look towards our Norwegian neighbours.
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5:15 - 5:18- We couldn't find any numbers from Denmark, which of course is regrettable.
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5:18 - 5:22The closest we could get was Norway. There, a study was completed in 2008.
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5:22 - 5:27According to this study, approximately 30 million tracks were copied illegally per week.
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5:27 - 5:30Which makes up approximately 55 percent to the total volume of copied tracks.
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5:30 - 5:35But Martin Nielsen says the last three years of development on the music market have been of great significance.
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5:35 - 5:39-New streaming services make it easier to get music legally.
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5:39 - 5:45It has taken away the motivation to do it illegally, so I think we are significantly below 95 percent.
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5:45 - 5:51But there is, in fact, one survey made in Denmark.
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5:51 - 5:57In November 2010 KODA made an internal study in Denmark.
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5:57 - 6:00The organisation, which manages musicians' rights,
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6:00 - 6:03asked a representative sample of the Danish population
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6:03 - 6:07from where they had the latest track in their music collection
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6:08 - 6:11A quarter of the interviewees replied that the latest track in their collection
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6:11 - 6:16had been downloaded, and roughly half of those had paid for the song.
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6:16 - 6:19Which means at least half of those polled had acquired
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6:19 - 6:23the latest track in their music collection in a lawful manner
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6:23 - 6:30and as for the remaining downloads which had not been paid for, you cannot say whether they are illegal or not.
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6:30 - 6:35"What did I talk about? What did I have to say?"
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6:35 - 6:40"He is confused, so I dare to say ...."
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6:40 - 6:43That there really is no documentation proving
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6:43 - 6:51that illegal file sharing and streaming constitute 95 percent of all music traffic on danish IP-adresses.
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6:52 - 6:55Welcome to you, Ivan Pedersen.
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6:55 - 7:03Is it true that illegal file sharing and streaming from Danish IP addresses constitute 95 percent of all music traffic?
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7:04 - 7:06I reserve the right to wise up.
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7:06 - 7:09And I have really been taught a lesson these past few days.
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7:09 - 7:15The numbers used in my article 2 weeks ago turned out not to hold water.
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7:15 - 7:21They are three years old. I got those numbers where I normally obtain sober information, about the issues I talk about.
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7:21 - 7:27But I now understand that the 95% I used
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7:27 - 7:35in reality were numbers describing the global situation. And three years ago.
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7:35 - 7:40How does this affect the debate on illegal streaming and downloading of songs if
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7:40 - 7:46you publicly use very exaggerated numbers, which turn out not to be true?
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7:47 - 7:49It deals my opponents a stronger hand.
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7:49 - 7:54Obviously this is the last time that I - out of pure anger,
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7:54 - 8:04you know, passion-driven argumentation - use the latest figures I have been given, just because it fits my stuff.
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8:04 - 8:07Good. Let's get out the Detektor Truth-o-meter
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8:07 - 8:09We have one of those here in the Studio and you may try it.
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8:09 - 8:11Ivan Pedersen, as a spokesperson of DPA:
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8:11 - 8:20The statement that 95% of all danish music streaming and downloading is illegal
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8:20 - 8:2395% is false, right?
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8:24 - 8:30According to what I have been able to gather today, it's probably half of the traffic on the Internet
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8:30 - 8:39of music or other copyright-protected material, that happens without remunerating the creators and performers.
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8:39 - 8:41But the 95% - it is false?
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8:41 - 8:43Yes, it is false.
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8:43 - 8:43And yet you placed it ...?
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8:43 - 8:46No oo, what I have been TOLD is that it is false.
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8:46 - 8:48Strictly speaking, I cannnot know. I have been told that the figures are not accurate,
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8:48 - 8:50it is not the latest numbers.
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8:50 - 8:52So now that you have the opportunity and the possibility:
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8:52 - 8:55What would you write, if you were to rewrite your op-ed in Politiken [a danish daily].
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8:55 - 9:01I'd write "a dramatically large proportion of the traffic of copyright-protected material
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9:01 - 9:03on Danish IP addresses, are not paid for".
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9:03 - 9:05Ivan Pedersen, thank you very much for being on the show.
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9:05 - 9:07You're most welcome! (laughs)
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9:08 - 9:12So far so good. But then there was the Trade Minister.
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9:12 - 9:15Who coined it this way:
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9:15 - 9:19I think it's 95% of the music that's downloaded on the net,
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9:19 - 9:21which is downloaded illegally.
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9:21 - 9:28In a § 20 questions in the danish Parliament, Stine Brix from Enhedslisten asked from where the Minister has her facts.
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9:28 - 9:32Pia Olsen Dyhr response to Stine Brix was that she received her information from IFPI,
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9:32 - 9:35and that she did not find any reason to doubt them.
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9:37 - 9:43How can you use three to four year-old figures on illegal music downloads?
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9:43 - 9:48It was the figure I was given prior to our consultation in the Committee for European Affairs
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9:48 - 9:52It's unfortunate that the figure is so old.
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9:52 - 9:54It is actually also a pity that the number is so much bigger, because it clouds
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9:54 - 9:58a debate that should be taken seriously. Namely that you're not allowed to download illegally on the Internet.
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9:58 - 10:01Just like you may not steal an orange in the supermarket
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10:01 - 10:08We know that there are too many who do it. Whether it's 28 or 95 percent or whatever it is.
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10:08 - 10:10It is still too many.
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10:10 - 10:15But what does it do to the debate whether it's 28% or 95% or somewhere in between?
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10:15 - 10:19It makes it blurred, because we need to have real numbers in debates.
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10:19 - 10:20I think that's very important, actually.
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10:20 - 10:23The Danish study that shows that half of all the music,
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10:23 - 10:29that's downloaded from the internet, has been paid for, is newer than the one from IFPI.
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10:29 - 10:32Why aren't you using a number like that instead?
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10:32 - 10:34First of all, because I did not know that number. That's fair and square.
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10:34 - 10:38Secondly, this number says nothing about how much is illegal.
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10:38 - 10:41Because we cannot necessarily conclude that the other half
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10:41 - 10:43is illegal downloading just because you haven't paid for it.
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10:43 - 10:46But it does, at the least, say that half is legal,
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10:46 - 10:49so it can't be more than half which is illegal.
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10:49 - 10:51I'm happy to use those numbers in the future.
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10:51 - 10:54Well, let's get out the Detektor truth-o-meter.
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10:54 - 10:57You may place the red dot yourself.
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10:57 - 11:02Is it true or false that 95% of all music downloads are illegal?
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11:02 - 11:07It was. after all, true in 2009, when this report was made.
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11:07 - 11:10But with the development I have seen, we must of course be moving towards here,
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11:10 - 11:13because, in reality, the numbers look differently today.
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11:13 - 11:14Pia Olsen Dyhr, thank you very much.
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11:14 -My pleasure.
- Title:
- DR2 Detektor - Old (and wrong) numbers pollutes ACTA debate.
- Description:
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About the show:
http://www.dr.dk/P1/Detektor/Udsendelser/2012/02/28154014.htm - translation: http://bit.ly/95_percentNB: What was not very clear here is that the 95% number is from 2008, not 2009 (the reports come out in January and deal with the year before), and cannot be sourced. The report calls it "an estimate".
- Video Language:
- Danish
- Duration:
- 11:17
moltke2 edited English subtitles for DR2 Detektor: Gamle (og forkerte!) tal forurener ACTA-debatten. | ||
moltke2 edited English subtitles for DR2 Detektor: Gamle (og forkerte!) tal forurener ACTA-debatten. | ||
moltke2 edited English subtitles for DR2 Detektor: Gamle (og forkerte!) tal forurener ACTA-debatten. | ||
moltke2 edited English subtitles for DR2 Detektor: Gamle (og forkerte!) tal forurener ACTA-debatten. | ||
torben edited English subtitles for DR2 Detektor: Gamle (og forkerte!) tal forurener ACTA-debatten. | ||
torben edited English subtitles for DR2 Detektor: Gamle (og forkerte!) tal forurener ACTA-debatten. | ||
torben added a translation |