Who Killed Economic Growth?
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0:12 - 0:23
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0:23 - 0:28
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0:28 - 0:34
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0:34 - 0:38
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0:38 - 0:39You've heard them,
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0:39 - 0:42politicians, economists, executives - all saying the same thing:
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0:42 - 0:44The economy is recovering!
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0:44 - 0:46Recovering to what?
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0:46 - 0:49To its normal state of constant growth.
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0:49 - 0:53In the next five minutes we're going to see why they're wrong,
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0:53 - 0:57why economic growth is effectively over,
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0:57 - 1:00and what that means for the economy, for you
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1:00 - 1:02and for your family.
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1:02 - 1:07It started centuries ago. There had been economic expansion before but
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1:07 - 1:09it was slow and cyclical.
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1:09 - 1:15Empires rose and fell.
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1:15 - 1:17But with the industrial revolution
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1:17 - 1:21rapid growth became normal.
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1:21 - 1:24Economists tell us this was because of innovation,
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1:24 - 1:27division of labor and increased trade,
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1:27 - 1:30but it was mostly a result of cheap energy.
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1:30 - 1:33It takes energy to do things and with cheap coal and oil people could
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1:33 - 1:38suddenly do more than ever. First coal then oil sped up trade by fueling
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1:38 - 1:41our prized inventions:
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1:41 - 1:42Railroads,
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1:42 - 1:44automobiles and airplanes.
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1:44 - 1:45Economists
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1:45 - 1:49assumed that growth could go on forever.
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1:49 - 1:51It was an absurd notion.
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1:51 - 1:55Nobody stopped to think that all this industrial growth was happening on a
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1:55 - 1:59small planet with only so much oil and soil,
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1:59 - 2:01only so many forests and fish.
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2:01 - 2:04We were growing on borrowed time
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2:04 - 2:07and we all got hooked on growth.
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2:07 - 2:11Rising GDP numbers became our main measure of success.
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2:11 - 2:15More, bigger and faster meant better.
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2:15 - 2:18The first warning signs came in the 1970s.
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2:18 - 2:22A team of scientists programmed a computer with data about population
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2:22 - 2:24growth, rising consumption
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2:24 - 2:26and resource depletion.
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2:26 - 2:27Their conclusion:
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2:27 - 2:30There are limits to growth.
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2:30 - 2:32Mainstream economists
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2:32 - 2:37attacked those findings using nasty rhetorical tricks, but forty years later
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2:37 - 2:40the same conclusion holds.
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2:40 - 2:43In fact the industrial economies of the world's wealthiest nations
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2:43 - 2:49started stagnating years ago as resources began to run out. Governments,
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2:49 - 2:52businesses, and households went into hock up to their eyeballs
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2:52 - 2:57gorging on easy credit. The financial system created ever more
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2:57 - 3:02complex securities and derivatives schemes to soak up all of that debt
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3:02 - 3:09and make perpetually rising imaginary profits on imaginary assets.
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3:09 - 3:15But money and debt depend on natural resources piling up debt year after year
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3:15 - 3:20doubling it then doubling it again meant piling up claims on resources that were
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3:20 - 3:23shrinking as we depleted them.
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3:23 - 3:25It was a pyramid scheme,
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3:25 - 3:27the mother of all bubbles
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3:27 - 3:29and in 2008
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3:29 - 3:31it burst.
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3:31 - 3:34Governments and central banks tried to reinflate the bubble with bailouts and
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3:34 - 3:38stimulus packages funded by public debt.
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3:38 - 3:41But there are practical limits to debt
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3:41 - 3:43and we're hitting them.
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3:43 - 3:46There are practical limits to energy sources
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3:46 - 3:48and we're hitting them.
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3:48 - 3:52There are real limits to the planet's ability to absorb our wastes
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3:52 - 3:55and industrial accidents
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3:55 - 3:57and we've hit those too.
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3:57 - 4:00We're being told that the economy is recovering
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4:00 - 4:04but take away new debt the government has taken on since 2008 to
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4:04 - 4:06stimulate the economy
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4:06 - 4:09and there's been no economic growth.
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4:09 - 4:11There is no recovery
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4:11 - 4:15it's all being done with more debt.
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4:15 - 4:18We've already mortgaged our grandchildren's future
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4:18 - 4:23but to keep the economy from relapsing we'll need to borrow even more.
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4:23 - 4:24The game is up.
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4:24 - 4:29We've reach the end of economic growth as we've known it.
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4:29 - 4:31They're lying to you.
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4:31 - 4:32But they can't help it
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4:32 - 4:34We're all addicted to growth.
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4:34 - 4:37We all want better jobs and higher returns on investments
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4:37 - 4:41but we live on a finite planet
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4:41 - 4:45The end of growth is not the fault of any one politician or political party
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4:45 - 4:49but some people benefited from growth more than others.
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4:49 - 4:54We can live without economic growth but we will have to start doing a few things
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4:54 - 4:56differently.
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4:56 - 5:00We have to measure and aim for improvements in life that don't require
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5:00 - 5:05increasing our consumption of fossil fuels and other depleting resources
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5:05 - 5:10or piling on more debt.
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5:10 - 5:12Freedom. Being with the people we love.
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5:12 - 5:14Good health and the time to enjoy it.
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5:14 - 5:17A secure happy community.
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5:17 - 5:23We have to work together to build local economies where we can live and prosper.
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5:23 - 5:25But, and this is a big but...
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5:25 - 5:30Without cheap fossil fuels and without borrowing from the future.
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5:30 - 5:32The longer we put this off
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5:32 - 5:35the harder it will be.
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5:35 - 5:38Economic growth. It's over.
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5:38 -LET'S MOVE ON.
- Title:
- Who Killed Economic Growth?
- Description:
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**PLEASE SHARE**
Excerpted from: http://www.endofgrowth.com
Richard Heinberg propose a startling diagnosis: humanity has reached a fundamental turning point in its economic history. The expansionary trajectory of industrial civilization is colliding with non-negotiable natural limits.** Please understand that we fit all we could into a five minute video. Yes, there are many issues and nuances left out. You'll find most addressed in the book from which this material was excerpted: http://www.endofgrowth.com***
"Why have mainstream economists ignored environmental limits for so long? If Heinberg is right, they will have much explaining to do." -- LESTER BROWN, Founder Earth Policy Institute
"Heinberg shows how peak oil, peak water, peak food, etc. lead not only to the end of growth, but to the beginning of a new era of progress without growth." -- HERMAN E. DALY, Professor Emeritus, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland
"By the time you finish Heinberg's book, you will have 2 conclusions: This is the end of economic growth and it is our problem, not our childrens'. It's time to get ready. This book is the place to start." --PAUL GILDING -- Former head of Greenpeace International
"Richard has rung the bell on the limits to growth. Our shift from quantity of consumption to quality of life is the great challenge of our generation. Frightening...but ultimately freeing." --JOHN FULLERTON - President and Founder, Capital Institute
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- Video Language:
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- Duration:
- 06:31
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