1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,800 Hi, in this set of lectures we are going to talk about problem solving. 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,538 We’re going to talk about individuals and teams go about solving problems. 3 00:00:07,538 --> 00:00:09,146 and we’re going to focus on a couple of things — 4 00:00:09,146 --> 00:00:12,050 We're going to talk about the role that diversity plays in problem solving, 5 00:00:12,050 --> 00:00:15,856 and we’re also going to talk about how ideas can get recombined, 6 00:00:15,856 --> 00:00:17,923 and how a lot of innovation actually comes from 7 00:00:17,923 --> 00:00:21,200 somebody having an idea in one place and it being applied someplace else. 8 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:26,800 So, those are going to be the two main themes: The role of diversity, and the power of recombination. 9 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:30,962 So to get there, think about how we model problem solving: We got to start off by making it more formal, 10 00:00:30,962 --> 00:00:32,962 constructing a somewhat formal model. 11 00:00:32,962 --> 00:00:37,046 So here is how we are going to do it: We are going to assume that you take some sort of action (a), 12 00:00:37,046 --> 00:00:40,038 where you have some sort of solution we’ll represent by (a), 13 00:00:40,038 --> 00:00:43,662 and there's a payout function (F), that gives you the value of that particular action. 14 00:00:43,662 --> 00:00:47,769 So that action could be a particular string of code if you are writing computer code, 15 00:00:47,769 --> 00:00:50,800 and (F) might be how fast that code runs. 16 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:57,408 Alternatively, (a) could be a health care policy and (F) would be how efficient that health care policy is. 17 00:00:57,408 --> 00:01:03,015 So, (a) is the solution that you propose and F(a) (F of a) is how good the solution is. 18 00:01:03,015 --> 00:01:05,638 What we want to do is to have some kind of an understanding [of] 19 00:01:05,638 --> 00:01:09,577 how people come up with better solutions — where innovation comes from. 20 00:01:09,577 --> 00:01:11,869 So to do that we are going to invoke a metaphor. 21 00:01:11,869 --> 00:01:18,215 And we are going to use this 'metaphor of a landscape' as a lens through which to interpret our models. 22 00:01:18,215 --> 00:01:20,800 Okay, so, think about it in the following way: 23 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:24,108 You are trying to come up with some solution to a problem, and each solution has a value. 24 00:01:24,108 --> 00:01:27,762 So the altitude here is the value of it. 25 00:01:27,762 --> 00:01:31,062 So, B is the best possible solution. 26 00:01:31,062 --> 00:01:35,146 Now, along here on the X-axis, these are all the different solutions. 27 00:01:35,146 --> 00:01:37,523 So I might start out by having some Idea (I) 28 00:01:37,523 --> 00:01:39,912 (Let’s just put it right here, and here’s my idea.) 29 00:01:39,912 --> 00:01:43,367 And it's an okay idea; but we’d like to think about “How do we find better ideas?” 30 00:01:43,377 --> 00:01:46,977 So one think we might do is [we] might “try things to the left and the right,” 31 00:01:46,977 --> 00:01:51,269 and realize that “climb uphill” here and we get to some point (C); 32 00:01:51,269 --> 00:01:55,569 and (C) might be where I get stuck, because if I go to the left I’m lower, and if I go to the right I’m lower, 33 00:01:55,569 --> 00:01:58,831 so I could say “Wait, (C) is the best thing I can come up with.” 34 00:01:58,831 --> 00:02:01,623 What we want to see is how people come up with these ideas, 35 00:02:01,623 --> 00:02:03,800 how teams of people come up with better ideas, 36 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,638 and how we can avoid getting stuck on (C), 37 00:02:06,638 --> 00:02:08,823 and possibly getting ourselve[s] up to (B). 38 00:02:09,715 --> 00:02:12,523 How are we going to do it? Well, here’s what the model is going to look like: 39 00:02:12,523 --> 00:02:16,885 We are going to start out by talking about something I am going to call ‘perspectives’. 40 00:02:16,885 --> 00:02:21,108 What is a perspective? Perspective is how you represent a problem. 41 00:02:21,108 --> 00:02:23,215 So if someone poses some problem to you— 42 00:02:23,215 --> 00:02:25,654 again, whether it is code, health care policy, 43 00:02:25,654 --> 00:02:29,631 designing a bycicle, or designing an addition to you house— 44 00:02:29,631 --> 00:02:32,469 you have some way of representing that problem in your head. 45 00:02:32,469 --> 00:02:37,392 That's going to be a perspective — it’s literally how you encode the problem. 46 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:43,392 Once you have encoded the problem, what you do is you create—again, this is metaphorically—a ‘landscape’. 47 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,962 as if you can think of your encoding is like that horizontal axis, 48 00:02:46,962 --> 00:02:49,500 and that there is a value for each possible solution, 49 00:02:49,500 --> 00:02:51,433 and that creates a landscape. 50 00:02:51,433 --> 00:02:56,338 So we are going to talk about how different perspectives give different landscapes. 51 00:02:56,338 --> 00:02:57,531 That is the first part. 52 00:02:57,531 --> 00:02:59,977 [The] second part is something I’m going to call ‘heuristics’. 53 00:02:59,977 --> 00:03:02,415 Heuristics are how you move on the landscape. 54 00:03:02,415 --> 00:03:04,062 So, remember when I drew that landscape, 55 00:03:04,062 --> 00:03:06,062 I talked about climbing up the 'hill'. 56 00:03:06,062 --> 00:03:08,208 Well, 'Hill Climbing' is one heuristic. 57 00:03:08,208 --> 00:03:11,831 'Random Search' would be another heuristic — if you just randomly pick some points 58 00:03:11,831 --> 00:03:15,131 and then find which one is where the highest value is, that is another heuristic. 59 00:03:15,131 --> 00:03:18,592 So we will talk about how different perspectives and different heruistics 60 00:03:18,592 --> 00:03:22,392 allow people to find a better or improving solutions to problems. 61 00:03:22,392 --> 00:03:24,762 So that is going to be the focus of our model of problem solving: 62 00:03:24,762 --> 00:03:28,623 People have perspectives, and people have heuristics. 63 00:03:28,623 --> 00:03:32,000 Once we finish talking about individuals, then we will talk about teams. 64 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:36,023 One of the interesting things here is if you have groups of people or [a] team of people solving a problem. 65 00:03:36,023 --> 00:03:38,946 You actually can show that they will be better than the individuals in it. 66 00:03:38,946 --> 00:03:42,654 And the reason why is because they have more tools, and those tools tend to be diverse. 67 00:03:42,654 --> 00:03:46,669 So they have different perspectives and different heuristics, and all that diversity makes them better 68 00:03:46,669 --> 00:03:50,108 coming up with new solutions and better solutions to problems. 69 00:03:50,831 --> 00:03:52,685 So, teams are going to be important. 70 00:03:52,685 --> 00:03:54,738 After we have talked about teams, 71 00:03:54,738 --> 00:04:00,108 and after we have talked about the role of how one person can improve upon the solution of another, 72 00:04:00,115 --> 00:04:03,869 we are going to extend our model a little bit and talk about recombination. 73 00:04:03,869 --> 00:04:06,123 So here is sort of the big idea. The big idea is this: 74 00:04:06,123 --> 00:04:10,023 I have some solution from one problem, you have a solution from a different problem, 75 00:04:10,023 --> 00:04:13,100 and sometimes I can take your solution and combine it with my solution, 76 00:04:13,100 --> 00:04:15,200 and come up with something even better. 77 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:17,269 So, the thing about sophisticated products— 78 00:04:17,269 --> 00:04:20,800 like a house, an automobile, or even a computer— 79 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:24,115 that consists of all sorts of solutions to sub-problems. 80 00:04:24,115 --> 00:04:27,554 And we are going to see how by recombining solutions to sub-problems 81 00:04:27,554 --> 00:04:31,992 we get ever better solutions, and that is really a big driver of innovation. 82 00:04:31,992 --> 00:04:33,808 So let us think back for a second — Remember in our previous lecture, 83 00:04:33,808 --> 00:04:38,138 we talked about how without sustained innovation we no longer get growth, 84 00:04:38,138 --> 00:04:40,400 that growth depends on sustained innovation. 85 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,323 What we’re going to talk about here is how diversity leads to innovations, 86 00:04:44,323 --> 00:04:48,231 and how recombinations of innovations can lead to even more Innovations. 87 00:04:48,231 --> 00:04:50,938 So that is the big theme — So that is where we are headed: 88 00:04:50,938 --> 00:04:54,831 We are going to start by talking about perspectives. Then we will talk about heuristics. 89 00:04:54,831 --> 00:04:59,454 Then we will talk about how teams of people can leverage their diverse perspectives in heuristics. 90 00:04:59,454 --> 00:05:04,362 And then we’ll talk about recombining ideas can really drive a lot of growth. 91 00:05:04,362 --> 00:05:09,284 All right, let’s get started. Thank you!