1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,791 [I'm using this English GB track to script audio descriptions - CA] [Innovation & its Enemies] 2 00:00:02,791 --> 00:00:04,580 [<1>] 3 00:00:04,580 --> 00:00:05,092 So, I apologize that I am going to introduce these 4 00:00:05,092 --> 00:00:07,054 ideas so early in the morning, 5 00:00:07,054 --> 00:00:09,049 after such a late night last night. 6 00:00:09,049 --> 00:00:13,677 But I'll like you to think of an alcoholic. 7 00:00:13,743 --> 00:00:14,381 [photo of drunk sleeping on the earth] 8 00:00:14,673 --> 00:00:15,173 And I don't mean the kind of drop-dead 9 00:00:15,173 --> 00:00:16,083 drunken alcoholic, 10 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:16,864 [picture of AA meeting] 11 00:00:16,972 --> 00:00:20,092 or somebody who is even recovering from AA. 12 00:00:20,092 --> 00:00:21,035 [Bottles: vodka and other spirits] 13 00:00:21,035 --> 00:00:23,024 I am thinking just of the regular alcoholic 14 00:00:23,024 --> 00:00:30,078 who works hard to control the addiction he has. 15 00:00:30,078 --> 00:00:32,071 But this particular alcoholic, I want you to 16 00:00:32,071 --> 00:00:36,010 imagine that, in addition to the addiction to alcohol, 17 00:00:36,010 --> 00:00:39,054 he has a second addiction as well. 18 00:00:39,068 --> 00:00:43,063 Not the debilitating addiction that keeps him 19 00:00:43,063 --> 00:00:44,046 down all day. 20 00:00:44,046 --> 00:00:46,041 And not a recovered drug addict. 21 00:00:46,041 --> 00:00:48,008 But an addiction nonetheless 22 00:00:48,008 --> 00:00:51,027 that continues to pull him in another way, 23 00:00:51,027 --> 00:00:52,089 away from what he wants to do. 24 00:00:52,089 --> 00:00:59,009 A person with two addictions, pulling different ways, 25 00:00:59,009 --> 00:01:01,097 making him vulnerable, making him dangerous, 26 00:01:01,097 --> 00:01:04,082 as he is susceptible to the temptations of each. 27 00:01:04,082 --> 00:01:09,047 And the trick for this soul is to control 28 00:01:09,047 --> 00:01:14,053 and to regulate these addictions, to keep them under control. 29 00:01:14,053 --> 00:01:17,002 Now I give you this picture because 30 00:01:17,002 --> 00:01:23,096 I think it is a good picture of modern democratic government. 31 00:01:23,096 --> 00:01:26,000 Modern democratic government too, is pulled 32 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,012 by these two separate kinds of addictions. 33 00:01:28,012 --> 00:01:31,025 Constantly pulled by craziness. 34 00:01:31,025 --> 00:01:35,073 Craziness to one side for the people, or at least wrongly, 35 00:01:35,073 --> 00:01:37,084 as the people push the government to do what 36 00:01:37,084 --> 00:01:40,035 is not in the public interest. 37 00:01:40,035 --> 00:01:41,077 Think of Peronism, 38 00:01:41,077 --> 00:01:44,095 or the kind of populism that drove the 39 00:01:44,095 --> 00:01:49,029 banking and housing bubble in the United States. 40 00:01:49,029 --> 00:01:52,038 Or in the other hand, an addiction to special interests, 41 00:01:52,038 --> 00:01:56,091 let's call them "incumbents", constantly tempting the government 42 00:01:56,091 --> 00:01:59,030 to do something crazy for public policy 43 00:01:59,030 --> 00:02:01,030 in the name of benefiting the incumbents. 44 00:02:01,030 --> 00:02:04,018 And here, in the United States at least, you can think about 45 00:02:04,018 --> 00:02:08,082 just about every major policy issue where this addiction 46 00:02:08,082 --> 00:02:10,057 has had its role. 47 00:02:10,057 --> 00:02:12,084 Each of these pulling constantly, 48 00:02:12,084 --> 00:02:17,094 constantly tempting, always the government is vulnerable. 49 00:02:17,094 --> 00:02:22,026 Always, as libertarians insist, it is dangerous 50 00:02:22,026 --> 00:02:25,028 because it can always be exploited 51 00:02:25,028 --> 00:02:30,037 by one of these two sources at least, 52 00:02:30,037 --> 00:02:35,013 the temptations of the incumbents. 53 00:02:35,013 --> 00:02:39,091 OK now, the Internet is a platform, 54 00:02:39,091 --> 00:02:41,051 it is an architecture, 55 00:02:41,051 --> 00:02:46,002 it is an architecture with consequences. 56 00:02:46,002 --> 00:02:48,062 It is an architecture that enables innovation, 57 00:02:48,062 --> 00:02:52,052 or at least enables a certain kind of innovation. 58 00:02:52,052 --> 00:02:56,044 Think of the history of innovation in the Internet. 59 00:02:56,044 --> 00:03:02,035 Netscape, started by a drop-out from undergraduate university. 60 00:03:02,043 --> 00:03:04,043 Hotmail, started by an Indian immigrant, sold to 61 00:03:04,043 --> 00:03:07,003 Microsoft for 400 million dollars. 62 00:03:07,003 --> 00:03:11,081 ICQ, started by an Israeli kid and then his father, who was here, 63 00:03:11,081 --> 00:03:14,021 selling it to AOL for 400 million dollars. 64 00:03:14,021 --> 00:03:17,018 Google, started by two Stanford dropouts. 65 00:03:17,018 --> 00:03:21,001 Napster, started by a dropout and someone who 66 00:03:21,001 --> 00:03:22,096 hadn't yet been able to be a dropout, 67 00:03:22,096 --> 00:03:24,091 sitting on this panel, here, today. 68 00:03:24,091 --> 00:03:28,002 Youtube, started by two Stanford students. 69 00:03:28,002 --> 00:03:35,099 Kazaa and Skype, started by kids from Denmark and Sweden. 70 00:03:35,099 --> 00:03:38,056 And then, of course, Facebook, and Twitter, started by kids. 71 00:03:38,056 --> 00:03:42,002 What unites all of these innovations? 72 00:03:42,002 --> 00:03:48,043 They were all done by kids, dropouts, and non-americans. 73 00:03:48,043 --> 00:03:50,038 Outsiders. 74 00:03:50,038 --> 00:03:54,075 Because this is what that architecture invited. 75 00:03:54,075 --> 00:03:58,070 It invited outsider innovation. 76 00:03:58,070 --> 00:04:05,059 Now, outsider innovation threatens the "incumbents". 77 00:04:05,059 --> 00:04:08,012 Skype threatens telephone companies. 78 00:04:08,012 --> 00:04:11,005 Youtube threatens television companies. 79 00:04:11,005 --> 00:04:13,042 Netflix threatens cable companies. 80 00:04:13,042 --> 00:04:16,074 Twitter threatens sanity - 81 00:04:16,074 --> 00:04:18,087 not that sanity was ever an incumbent. 82 00:04:18,087 --> 00:04:25,000 But then the threatened respond to this threat. 83 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:30,058 By turning to the addict, modern democratic government, 84 00:04:30,058 --> 00:04:34,071 and using drug of choice (which in the United States at least 85 00:04:34,071 --> 00:04:37,089 is an endless amount of campaign cash), 86 00:04:37,089 --> 00:04:42,056 using that drug to secure the protection 87 00:04:42,056 --> 00:04:50,011 against these threats that the incumbent faces. 88 00:04:50,011 --> 00:04:54,045 Now this was the point that I think president Sarkozy missed yesterday, 89 00:04:54,045 --> 00:04:57,074 and the question that Jeff Jarvis raised when he suggested 90 00:04:57,074 --> 00:05:00,018 that the principle that should be carried to the G8 91 00:05:00,018 --> 00:05:03,085 is that the government "do no harm". 92 00:05:03,085 --> 00:05:05,069 President Sarkozy said, no, but we have important 93 00:05:05,069 --> 00:05:08,084 policy issues to resolve. But here is the point. 94 00:05:08,084 --> 00:05:13,025 We get that there are "hard policy" issues here. 95 00:05:13,025 --> 00:05:17,039 From copyright, to privacy to security to the problem of monopoly. We get it. 96 00:05:17,039 --> 00:05:22,050 The point is, is we don't trust the answers the 97 00:05:22,050 --> 00:05:24,036 government gives. 98 00:05:24,036 --> 00:05:27,056 And for good reasons we don't trust these answers, 99 00:05:27,056 --> 00:05:31,041 because on issue after issue, the answer that 100 00:05:31,041 --> 00:05:35,078 modern democratic government has given here, 101 00:05:35,078 --> 00:05:39,017 is an answer that happens to benefit 102 00:05:39,017 --> 00:05:41,024 the incumbents. 103 00:05:41,024 --> 00:05:45,053 And ignores an answer that might actually 104 00:05:45,053 --> 00:05:49,006 encourage more innovation. 105 00:05:49,006 --> 00:05:51,068 So think for example about the matter of copyright. 106 00:05:51,068 --> 00:05:55,024 Of course we need a system of copyright 107 00:05:55,024 --> 00:05:58,065 that guarantees that creators get compensated 108 00:05:58,065 --> 00:06:01,041 and secures their independence to create. 109 00:06:01,041 --> 00:06:05,038 No one serious denies that we have to have 110 00:06:05,038 --> 00:06:08,015 that system of protection. 111 00:06:08,015 --> 00:06:12,063 The question is not whether copyright should be protected. 112 00:06:12,063 --> 00:06:16,027 The question is how to protect copyright 113 00:06:16,027 --> 00:06:17,055 in a digital era. 114 00:06:17,055 --> 00:06:19,086 Whether the architecture of copyright, 115 00:06:19,090 --> 00:06:22,007 built for the XIX century, 116 00:06:22,018 --> 00:06:25,000 continues to make sense in the XXI. 117 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:30,056 And what is the architecture that would make sense in the XXI? 118 00:06:30,056 --> 00:06:36,062 Now, is this the question the government is asking? 119 00:06:36,062 --> 00:06:38,063 I think the answer to that is no. 120 00:06:38,063 --> 00:06:42,091 Instead, what the government is proposing, 121 00:06:42,091 --> 00:06:45,052 around the world, specially here, 122 00:06:45,061 --> 00:06:47,097 and I apologize to my colleagues from France, 123 00:06:47,097 --> 00:06:49,080 but this is a technical legal term. 124 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:54,063 The proposal suggested here is a "brain-dead" 125 00:06:54,063 --> 00:07:00,099 3-strikes proposal that happens to benefit incumbents. 126 00:07:01,011 --> 00:07:05,051 Ignoring the potential of innovation that could come from 127 00:07:05,062 --> 00:07:07,099 a new architecture for securing copyright. 128 00:07:07,099 --> 00:07:11,042 And you don't have to take my view for this. 129 00:07:11,042 --> 00:07:14,051 The recent report from the conservative government in Britain, 130 00:07:14,051 --> 00:07:17,055 the Hargreaves report, says of copyright: 131 00:07:17,055 --> 00:07:20,020 "Could it be true that laws designed more than three centuries 132 00:07:20,020 --> 00:07:23,061 ago with the express purpose of creating economic 133 00:07:23,061 --> 00:07:25,019 incentives for innovation, 134 00:07:25,019 --> 00:07:27,086 by protecting creators' rights 135 00:07:27,086 --> 00:07:31,032 are today obstructing innovation and economic growth?" 136 00:07:31,032 --> 00:07:33,050 The short answer is: "yes". 137 00:07:33,050 --> 00:07:37,092 "In the case of copyright policy, there is no doubt 138 00:07:37,092 --> 00:07:40,026 that the persuasive powers of celebrities and 139 00:07:40,026 --> 00:07:42,019 important UK creative companies 140 00:07:42,019 --> 00:07:44,081 have distorted policy outcomes." 141 00:07:44,081 --> 00:07:48,037 And not just, I suggest, in the UK. 142 00:07:48,037 --> 00:07:50,080 Think about the question of broadband policy. 143 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:53,047 Europe, has actually been quite successful, 144 00:07:53,047 --> 00:07:57,010 in pushing competition in broadband, 145 00:07:57,010 --> 00:07:59,088 and therefore pushing broadband growth. 146 00:07:59,088 --> 00:08:05,066 The US has been a dismal failure in this respect. 147 00:08:05,066 --> 00:08:09,045 As we watch the US going from number 1 in broadband penetration, 148 00:08:09,045 --> 00:08:12,017 now to, depending on the scale, 149 00:08:12,017 --> 00:08:15,049 number 18, 19, or 28. 150 00:08:15,049 --> 00:08:19,022 And that change is because of policies that 151 00:08:19,022 --> 00:08:21,094 effectively block competition 152 00:08:21,094 --> 00:08:25,040 for broadband providers. 153 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,056 Their answer, these broadband providers brought to 154 00:08:28,056 --> 00:08:30,083 our government, and got our government to impose 155 00:08:30,083 --> 00:08:36,006 actually benefited them and destroyed the incentives 156 00:08:36,006 --> 00:08:38,040 for them to compete in a way that would drive 157 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:41,084 broadband penetration. 158 00:08:41,084 --> 00:08:44,002 I think in light of these examples, 159 00:08:44,002 --> 00:08:47,065 it is completely fair to be skeptical 160 00:08:47,069 --> 00:08:50,078 of the anwer modern democratic governments give. 161 00:08:50,091 --> 00:08:53,045 We should say to modern democratic government, 162 00:08:53,049 --> 00:08:59,088 you need to beware of incumbents bearing policy fixes. 163 00:08:59,088 --> 00:09:02,020 Because their job, the job of the incumbents, 164 00:09:02,020 --> 00:09:06,066 is not the same as your job, the job of the public policy maker. 165 00:09:06,066 --> 00:09:10,033 Their job is profit for them. 166 00:09:10,033 --> 00:09:12,026 Your job is the public good. 167 00:09:12,026 --> 00:09:15,065 And it is completely fair, for us to say, 168 00:09:15,065 --> 00:09:19,050 that until this addiction is solved, we should 169 00:09:19,050 --> 00:09:23,015 insist on minimalism in what government does. 170 00:09:23,015 --> 00:09:26,014 The kind of minimalism Jeff Jarvis spoke off when he 171 00:09:26,014 --> 00:09:28,054 spoke of "do no harm". 172 00:09:28,054 --> 00:09:32,025 An internet that embraces principles of open and free 173 00:09:32,025 --> 00:09:35,094 access, a neutral network to guarantee 174 00:09:35,094 --> 00:09:41,019 this open access, to protect the outsider. 175 00:09:41,019 --> 00:09:44,065 But here is the one think we know about this meeting, 176 00:09:44,065 --> 00:09:48,083 and its relationship to the future of the internet. 177 00:09:48,083 --> 00:09:50,092 The future of the internet is not Twitter, 178 00:09:50,092 --> 00:09:53,078 it is not Facebook, it is not Google, 179 00:09:53,078 --> 00:09:57,012 it is not even Rupert Murdoch. 180 00:09:57,012 --> 00:10:01,035 The future of the internet is not here. 181 00:10:01,035 --> 00:10:05,062 It wasn't invited, it does not even know how to be invited, 182 00:10:05,062 --> 00:10:09,063 because it doesn't yet focus on policies and fora like this. 183 00:10:09,063 --> 00:10:14,047 The least we can do is to preserve the architecture 184 00:10:14,047 --> 00:10:17,068 of this network that protects this future 185 00:10:17,079 --> 00:10:19,041 that is not here. 186 00:10:19,056 --> 00:10:21,099 Thank you very much.